Costa Rica Primera División · ·Apertura - 10

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon

Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter San Carlos

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

Inter San Carlos 53%
Draw 26%
Perez Zeledon 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Inter San Carlos wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter San CarlosDrawPerez Zeledon
Model46.1%29.4%24.5%
Market54.7%25.1%20.2%
Final52.5%26.2%21.3%
Edge-8.6%+4.3%+4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter San Carlos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.69, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon match preview

Inter San Carlos will face Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica Primera División, with kickoff scheduled for October 9, 2026. According to our model, Inter San Carlos has a 53% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and Perez Zeledon at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.42 for Inter San Carlos compared to 0.97 for Perez Zeledon.

In terms of recent form, Inter San Carlos has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins in their last five matches, while Perez Zeledon has struggled, losing four of their last five games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 43%, and there is a 48% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter San Carl ↓ / Perez Zeledon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon expected goals

Inter San Carlos 1.42
Perez Zeledon 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.39

Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon attack and defence ratings

Inter San Carlos

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Perez Zeledon

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter San Carlos 52.5% 1.90 -8.6% 1.69
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 51.7% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter San Carlos52.5%
Draw26.2%
Perez Zeledon21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.7%
Under 2.557.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.3%
No51.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)47.5%
Handicap -1Inter San Carlos win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-011.8%
0-010.4%

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon stats

Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon season so far

league record

Inter San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Perez Zeledon record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Inter San Carlos wins 0Draws 0Perez Zeledon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16Perez ZeledonInter San CarlosCosta Rica Primera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 25.1%, away 20.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.48 4.71
Bet365 1.67 3.40 4.33
Betano 1.65 3.60 5.10
Betfair 1.65 3.80 4.33
Dafabet 1.69 3.65 4.30
Marathonbet 1.63 3.48 4.60
Pinnacle 1.67 3.58 5.14
William Hill 1.62 3.70 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▲ +0.01
X 3.59 ▼ -0.06
2 4.46 ▼ -0.26

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Inter San Carlos Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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