Costa Rica Primera División · ·Apertura - 11

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos

Garuda Lions Prediction: San Carlos

1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability

San Carlos 52%
Draw 30%
Inter San Carlos 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance San Carlos wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
41%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan CarlosDrawInter San Carlos
Model51.7%29.6%18.7%
Market———
Final51.7%29.6%18.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why San Carlos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos match preview

San Carlos enters this match with a solid recent form, having won four of their last six matches, while Inter San Carlos shows a mixed record with two wins, a draw, and three losses in the same period. The model probabilities favor San Carlos at 52%, with a likelihood of a draw at 30% and Inter San Carlos at 19%. The expected goals suggest a stronger offensive performance from San Carlos, with 1.42 compared to Inter San Carlos's 0.76.

In their last encounter, San Carlos has not managed to secure a victory against Inter San Carlos, who won the only previous match. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of San Carlos, with a 15% probability. The chances for over 2.5 goals stand at 37%, and both teams to score is estimated at 41%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Carlos ↓ / Inter San Carl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 15% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos expected goals

San Carlos 1.42
Inter San Carlos 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.18

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos attack and defence ratings

San Carlos

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Inter San Carlos

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 11 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Carlos 51.7% 1.93 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.3% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Carlos51.7%
Draw29.6%
Inter San Carlos18.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.1%
Under 2.562.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.4%
No58.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.3%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1San Carlos win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss48.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.9%
1-113.4%
0-012.6%

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos stats

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos season so far

league record

San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0San Carlos wins 0Draws 1Inter San Carlos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09Inter San CarlosSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 San Carlos Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now