Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 11

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos

1 – 2 Full time

4′W. Azofeifa
28′Y. M. Villan U.
30′W. Azofeifa
45′W. Gonzalez
45′J. Bolanos
45′R. Vega
46′W. GonzalezA. Rodriguez Elizondo
46′E. HernandezR. Cordoba
46′J. PilarteA. Guevara
49′A. Guevara
50′Y. Piedra
54′R. Cordoba
57′C. AgualimpiaR. Vidal
57′K. CerdasJ. Aguilar
59′W. AzofeifaN. Mendoza
59′R. VegaK. Porras
75′J. VenegasJ. Valverde
75′J. Evans
76′R. Cordoba
76′J. BolanosS. Castro
77′E. TorresR. Chirino
83′N. Mendoza
85′S. Castro
89′J. Perez

Estadio Carlos Ugalde Alvarez, Ciudad QuesadaReferee: S. Madrigal

San Carlos 44%
Draw 29%
Inter San Carlos 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan CarlosDrawInter San Carlos
Model52.8%30.0%17.2%
Market41.2%29.3%29.5%
Final44.1%29.5%26.4%
Edge+2.9%+0.2%-3.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why San Carlos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices San Carlos below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Carlos ↓ / Inter San Carl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 16% 13% 2 12% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos expected goals

San Carlos 1.40
Inter San Carlos 0.69

Total expected goals: 2.08

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos attack and defence ratings

San Carlos

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Inter San Carlos

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos: result vs prediction

San Carlos 1 – 2 Inter San Carlos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 11 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Carlos 44.1% 2.27 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.1% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Carlos44.1%
Draw29.5%
Inter San Carlos26.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.6%
Under 2.565.4%
Both teams to scoreYes38.6%
No61.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.6%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1San Carlos win26.9%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss47.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.2%
0-013.6%
1-113.1%

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos stats

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Carlos and Inter San Carlos going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Carlos record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1San Carlos wins 0Draws 1Inter San Carlos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09Inter San CarlosSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División2-0
2024-08-07Inter San CarlosSan CarlosCopa Costa Rica1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 29.3%, away 29.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 2.82 3.28
Bet365 2.15 3.20 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.25 3.00
Betano 2.22 3.25 3.10
Dafabet 2.24 3.20 3.10
Marathonbet 2.22 2.82 3.20
Pinnacle 2.32 2.94 3.52
SBO 2.12 3.05 2.84

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.22 ▼ -0.01
X 3.12 ▲ +0.31
2 3.10 ▼ -0.38

6 snapshots recorded, from .