Perez Zeledon
vs
Escorpiones Belén
Garuda Lions Prediction: Perez Zeledon
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén
| Probability | Perez Zeledon | Draw | Escorpiones Belén |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.3% | 29.7% | 18.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.3% | 29.7% | 18.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Perez Zeledon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén match preview
Perez Zeledon faces Escorpiones Belén in the Costa Rica Primera División, with the home side having a 52% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at a rate of 15%. Perez Zeledon has shown mixed recent form with two losses, one win, one draw, and two additional losses, while Escorpiones Belén is struggling, having lost their last six matches consecutively.
The expected goals indicate a significant advantage for Perez Zeledon, with 1.42 expected goals compared to Escorpiones Belén's 0.73. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 41%, and there is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. The head-to-head record shows one draw and no wins for either team in their last encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén attack and defence ratings
Perez Zeledon
Escorpiones Belén
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 52.3% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Escorpiones Belén | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Perez Zeledon win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén stats
Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén recent form
| Perez Zeledon |
LLWDLL |
| Escorpiones Belén |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén season so far
Perez Zeledon record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Escorpiones Belén record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Escorpiones Belén | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.