CS Cartagines
vs
Puntarenas FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Cartagines
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
| Probability | CS Cartagines | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.9% | 20.7% | 12.4% |
| Market | 60.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% |
| Final | 61.8% | 22.8% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +6.7% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
Why CS Cartagines
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices CS Cartagines below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC match preview
CS Cartagines enters this match against Puntarenas FC with a strong probability of winning at 67%, while the visitors have a 12% chance. The expected goals for CS Cartagines stand at 2.18, compared to Puntarenas FC's 0.85, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring with a 12% probability.
Recent form shows CS Cartagines has had mixed results, with a record of L-W-W-W-W-L, while Puntarenas FC has a slightly better recent performance at W-D-L-W-W-L. In their last ten encounters, CS Cartagines has secured 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Puntarenas FC. The probabilities reflect model-only assessments, with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC attack and defence ratings
CS Cartagines
Puntarenas FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 61.8% | 1.62 | +6.7% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 61.8% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Puntarenas FC | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 43.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC stats
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC recent form
| CS Cartagines |
LWWWWL |
| Puntarenas FC |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC season so far
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | CS Cartagines | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | CS Cartagines | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | CS Cartagines | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-01 | CS Cartagines | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Puntarenas FC | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 23.4%, away 16.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.85 | 5.70 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.85 | 5.45 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .