Sporting San Jose
vs
CS Cartagines
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting San Jose
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines
| Probability | Sporting San Jose | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 28.3% | 30.7% |
| Market | 41.1% | 29.1% | 29.8% |
| Final | 41.1% | 28.9% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
Why Sporting San Jose
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines match preview
Sporting San Jose and CS Cartagines are set to face off in a closely contested match, with Sporting San Jose holding a 41% probability of winning compared to CS Cartagines at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Sporting San Jose, with an expected goals tally of 1.44 for them and 1.22 for CS Cartagines. Both teams are showing strong offensive capabilities, as indicated by a 55% likelihood of both teams scoring and a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Sporting San Jose has been impressive, winning five of their last six matches, while CS Cartagines has experienced a mix of results, winning four of their last six. The head-to-head record favors Sporting San Jose slightly, with five wins compared to CS Cartagines' four in their last ten encounters. The confidence grade for this matchup stands at C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting San Jose and CS Cartagines expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Sporting San Jose and CS Cartagines attack and defence ratings
Sporting San Jose
CS Cartagines
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 41.1% | 2.43 | -0.1% | 2.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 41.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| CS Cartagines | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines stats
Sporting San Jose and CS Cartagines recent form
| Sporting San Jose |
WWLWWW |
| CS Cartagines |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting San Jose and CS Cartagines season so far
Sporting San Jose record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | CS Cartagines | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Sporting San Jose | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2026-02-12 | CS Cartagines | Sporting San Jose | Copa Costa Rica | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Sporting San Jose | CS Cartagines | Copa Costa Rica | 4-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | CS Cartagines | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | CS Cartagines | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Sporting San Jose | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-08 | CS Cartagines | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-17 | Sporting San Jose | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Sporting San Jose | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 6-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 29.1%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.10 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.10 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.20 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 2.95 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .