Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 10

CS Herediano vs San Carlos

0 – 1 Full time

3′B. Martinez
46′H. QuirosD. Araya
46′S. VargasJ. Henestrosa
46′B. MartinezR. Vidal
58′E. JuarezA. Suarez
58′R. LealA. Hudson
63′E. HernandezC. Martinez
66′J. PilarteR. Cordoba
75′J. VenegasJ. Valverde
75′K. CerdasA. Guevara
77′R. Cordoba
79′K. FullerE. Rubio
89′J. Evans
90′K. Brown

Estadio Carlos Alvarado, HerediaReferee: K. Herrera

CS Herediano 48%
Draw 28%
San Carlos 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Herediano vs San Carlos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Herediano vs San Carlos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS HeredianoDrawSan Carlos
Model25.3%34.3%40.4%
Market55.8%25.4%18.8%
Final48.2%27.6%24.2%
Edge-7.6%+2.2%+5.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Herediano ↓ / San Carlos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 15% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

CS Herediano and San Carlos expected goals

CS Herediano 0.80
San Carlos 1.08

Total expected goals: 1.87

CS Herediano and San Carlos attack and defence ratings

CS Herediano

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.08 +8%

San Carlos

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Herediano vs San Carlos: result vs prediction

CS Herediano 0 – 1 San Carlos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

CS Herediano vs San Carlos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Herediano 48.2% 2.08 -7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Herediano48.2%
Draw27.6%
San Carlos24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.9%
Under 2.571.1%
Both teams to scoreYes37.5%
No62.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1CS Herediano win8.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.7%
0-115.2%
1-114.5%

CS Herediano vs San Carlos stats

CS Herediano and San Carlos recent form

newest first
CS Herediano LWLLLL
San Carlos WWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Herediano and San Carlos going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Herediano record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

San Carlos record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Herediano vs San Carlos head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3CS Herediano wins 3Draws 4San Carlos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15San CarlosCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División1-0
2026-04-19CS HeredianoSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División1-0
2026-02-23San CarlosCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División1-0
2025-11-30CS HeredianoSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División3-1
2025-08-25San CarlosCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División2-2
2025-04-26San CarlosCS HeredianoPrimera División1-1
2025-02-23CS HeredianoSan CarlosPrimera División2-1
2024-11-07San CarlosCS HeredianoPrimera División0-0
2024-09-11CS HeredianoSan CarlosPrimera División1-2
2024-03-28San CarlosCS HeredianoPrimera División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Herediano vs San Carlos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 25.4%, away 18.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.60 3.56 5.01
Bet365 1.62 3.50 4.75
BetVictor 1.62 3.60 5.00
Betano 1.70 3.60 4.75
Dafabet 1.67 3.65 4.80
Marathonbet 1.58 3.56 4.90
Pinnacle 1.65 3.75 5.30
SBO 1.60 3.34 4.54
William Hill 1.65 3.30 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.10
X 3.56 ▲ +0.05
2 4.80 ▲ +0.23

12 snapshots recorded, from .