CS Herediano
vs
San Carlos
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Herediano
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
CS Herediano vs San Carlos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Herediano vs San Carlos
| Probability | CS Herediano | Draw | San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 34.2% | 40.6% |
| Market | 56.0% | 25.5% | 18.5% |
| Final | 48.3% | 27.7% | 24.0% |
| Edge | -30.8% | +8.7% | +22.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CS Herediano vs San Carlos match preview
CS Herediano faces San Carlos in a Costa Rica Primera División match, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model assigns CS Herediano a 46% probability of winning, while San Carlos has a 25% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of CS Herediano, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest CS Herediano will score 0.79 and San Carlos 1.08.
In terms of recent form, CS Herediano has struggled, recording five losses and one win in their last six matches. Conversely, San Carlos has been in better shape, winning four of their last six games. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters shows a balanced competition, with CS Herediano winning twice, San Carlos also winning twice, and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Herediano and San Carlos expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.88
CS Herediano and San Carlos attack and defence ratings
CS Herediano
San Carlos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Herediano vs San Carlos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 48.3% | 2.07 | -30.8% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 48.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| San Carlos | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.6% |
| No | 62.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Herediano win | 8.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 74.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.6% |
| 0-1 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
CS Herediano vs San Carlos stats
CS Herediano and San Carlos recent form
| CS Herediano |
LWLLLL |
| San Carlos |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Herediano and San Carlos season so far
CS Herediano record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
San Carlos record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Herediano vs San Carlos head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | San Carlos | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | CS Herediano | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-23 | San Carlos | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CS Herediano | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | San Carlos | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CS Herediano vs San Carlos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 25.5%, away 18.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.56 | 5.01 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 3.65 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.56 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 3.70 | 5.21 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.28 | 4.43 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .