Puntarenas FC
vs
LD Alajuelense
Garuda Lions Prediction: LD Alajuelense
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense
| Probability | Puntarenas FC | Draw | LD Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 26.0% | 47.7% |
| Market | 25.6% | 27.3% | 47.0% |
| Final | 25.8% | 27.0% | 47.2% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -1.4% | +0.6% |
Why LD Alajuelense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.23.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense match preview
In the upcoming match between Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense, the model indicates a probability of 26% for Puntarenas FC to win, 26% for a draw, and 48% for LD Alajuelense to secure victory. The expected goals suggest Puntarenas FC will score 1.23, while LD Alajuelense is projected to net 1.72 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Puntarenas FC recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while LD Alajuelense has two wins, two losses, and one draw. Historical head-to-head results favor LD Alajuelense slightly, with two wins compared to Puntarenas FC's one win and two draws in their last five encounters. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 57%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 59%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings
Puntarenas FC
LD Alajuelense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LD Alajuelense | 47.2% | 2.12 | +0.6% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puntarenas FC | 25.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| LD Alajuelense | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | LD Alajuelense win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense stats
Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense recent form
| Puntarenas FC |
WDLWWL |
| LD Alajuelense |
WLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense season so far
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LD Alajuelense record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-24 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Puntarenas FC | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Puntarenas FC | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-15 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Puntarenas FC | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Puntarenas FC | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-23 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Copa Costa Rica | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | LD Alajuelense | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 27.3%, away 47.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.24 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.35 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.45 | 1.96 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.24 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.64 | 3.53 | 1.96 |
| SBO | 3.12 | 3.02 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .