Costa Rica Primera División · 2026-10-10T23:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 10

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense

1 – 1 Full time

15′			R. Wilson
24′			P. Alvarez
44′			R. Cisneros
53′			P. AlvarezK. E. Cabezas Rodriguez
56′			G. GonzalezA. Gamboa
56′			JuanpiC. Perez
74′			K. MichelL. Diaz
79′			Y. TejedaD. Castrillo
79′			K. VillalobosW. Cortes
84′			R. WilsonA. Salazar
85′			A. HernandezJ. Ruiz
86′			Y. Molina
89′			D. Castrillo

Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, PuntarenasReferee: S. Madrigal

Puntarenas FC

26%

Draw

27%

LD Alajuelense

47%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Puntarenas FC	Draw	LD Alajuelense
Model	26.5%	26.0%	47.4%
Market	25.9%	27.2%	46.9%
Final	26.0%	26.9%	47.0%
Edge	+0.2%	-0.3%	+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why LD Alajuelense

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.24.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense expected goals

Puntarenas FC

1.24

LD Alajuelense

1.71

Total expected goals: 2.95

Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings

Puntarenas FC

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

1.17 +17%

LD Alajuelense

Attack

1.34 +34%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense: result vs prediction

Puntarenas FC 1 – 1 LD Alajuelense

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines · 2026-10-10
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
CS Herediano v San Carlos — match page · 2026-10-11
Escorpiones Belén v Deportivo Saprissa — match page · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Puntarenas FC, previous: Puntarenas FC – Escorpiones Belén, 2026-09-19
Puntarenas FC, next: CS Cartagines – Puntarenas FC, 2026-10-14
LD Alajuelense, previous: LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos: odds and pick
LD Alajuelense, next: LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano analysis

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	LD Alajuelense	47.0%	2.13	+0.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.5%	1.77	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.2%	1.69	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	74.0%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	52.5%	1.90	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Puntarenas FC	26.0%
	Draw	26.9%
	LD Alajuelense	47.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.5%
	Under 2.5	43.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.2%
	No	40.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	53.0%
	12 (either side)	73.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	74.0%
Handicap -1	LD Alajuelense win	26.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.4%
	Loss	52.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.2%
	1-2	9.5%
	0-1	7.9%

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense stats

Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense recent form

newest first

Puntarenas FC	WDLWWL
LD Alajuelense	WLLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puntarenas FC and LD Alajuelense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Puntarenas FC record

They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

LD Alajuelense record

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Puntarenas FC wins 4Draws 5LD Alajuelense wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-08-15	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Costa Rica Primera División	2-1
2026-04-24	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Costa Rica Primera División	5-2
2026-03-01	Puntarenas FC	LD Alajuelense	Costa Rica Primera División	2-0
2025-09-27	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Costa Rica Primera División	2-2
2025-08-17	Puntarenas FC	LD Alajuelense	Costa Rica Primera División	0-0
2025-05-15	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Primera División	1-0
2025-05-12	Puntarenas FC	LD Alajuelense	Primera División	0-0
2025-04-27	Puntarenas FC	LD Alajuelense	Primera División	0-2
2025-03-23	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Copa Costa Rica	1-0
2025-03-01	LD Alajuelense	Puntarenas FC	Primera División	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 27.2%, away 46.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.58	3.24	1.93
Bet365	3.60	3.30	1.90
BetVictor	3.50	3.50	1.93
Betano	3.50	3.35	2.02
Betfair	3.40	3.60	1.90
Dafabet	3.45	3.45	2.00
Marathonbet	3.50	3.24	1.91
Pinnacle	3.69	3.57	1.98
SBO	3.18	3.11	1.95
William Hill	3.40	3.20	1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▼ -0.30

X 3.33 ▼ -0.07

2 1.93 ▲ +0.07

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T08:10:01Z.