Escorpiones Belén
vs
Deportivo Saprissa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa
0 – 2 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa
| Probability | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.8% | 20.0% | 70.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 9.8% | 20.0% | 70.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Saprissa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa match preview
Escorpiones Belén faces Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica Primera División with a significant disparity in form and expectations. Escorpiones Belén has struggled recently, recording six consecutive losses, while Deportivo Saprissa has shown more resilience with three wins in their last six matches. The model gives Escorpiones Belén a 10% chance of winning, with a 20% probability for a draw and a strong 70% for Deportivo Saprissa.
The expected goals suggest a clear advantage for Deportivo Saprissa, with 2.15 compared to Escorpiones Belén's 0.69. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at a rate of 13%. Additionally, there is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa attack and defence ratings
Escorpiones Belén
Deportivo Saprissa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 9.8% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 70.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 46.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 29.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 11.7% | |
| 0-3 | 9.7% |
Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa stats
Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa recent form
| Escorpiones Belén |
LLLLLL |
| Deportivo Saprissa |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa season so far
Escorpiones Belén record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Saprissa record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Deportivo Saprissa | Escorpiones Belén | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.