Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 10

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa

1 – 0 Full time

35′J. Ruiz
50′M. ElizondoK. Waston
60′L. Paradela
64′E. Salazar
68′J. VenegasJ. Tello
68′J. RuizR. Montiel
70′L. ParadelaA. Soto
71′G. TorresK. Arboine
72′G. Fonseca
78′O. SinclairA. Rodriguez
78′J. MoraJ. M. Azofeifa Rivas
80′A. FernandezL. Mena
80′D. VegaJ. Serrano
88′G. FonsecaR. Pena
90′R. Montiel

Estadio Rafael Bolanos, El CoyolReferee: J. Ugalde

Escorpiones Belén 13%
Draw 21%
Deportivo Saprissa 66%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEscorpiones BelénDrawDeportivo Saprissa
Model9.8%20.0%70.2%
Market13.9%20.9%65.2%
Final12.9%20.7%66.4%
Edge-1.0%-0.2%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Deportivo Saprissa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Escorpiones Be ↓ / Deportivo Sapr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 10% 9% 1 10% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals

Escorpiones Belén 0.69
Deportivo Saprissa 2.15

Total expected goals: 2.85

Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa attack and defence ratings

Escorpiones Belén

Attack 0.55 -45%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa: result vs prediction

Escorpiones Belén 1 – 0 Deportivo Saprissa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Saprissa 66.4% 1.51 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo Saprissa win 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Escorpiones Belén12.9%
Draw20.7%
Deportivo Saprissa66.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes45.0%
No55.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)33.6%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)87.1%
Handicap -1Deportivo Saprissa win46.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss29.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-213.5%
0-111.6%
0-39.7%

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa stats

Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Escorpiones Belén and Deportivo Saprissa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Escorpiones Belén record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Saprissa record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Escorpiones Belén wins 0Draws 1Deportivo Saprissa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-31Deportivo SaprissaEscorpiones BelénCosta Rica Primera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Escorpiones Belén vs Deportivo Saprissa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.9%, draw 20.9%, away 65.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.87 4.15 1.39
Bet365 6.50 4.10 1.38
BetVictor 7.00 4.50 1.36
Betano 6.20 4.40 1.44
Betfair 6.50 4.33 1.36
Dafabet 6.40 4.50 1.42
Marathonbet 6.55 4.15 1.38
Pinnacle 7.43 4.46 1.43
William Hill 6.50 3.90 1.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.