Deportivo Saprissa
vs
Sporting San Jose
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose
| Probability | Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 26.1% | 26.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.5% | 26.1% | 26.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Saprissa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.23.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose match preview
Deportivo Saprissa faces Sporting San Jose in a Costa Rica Primera División matchup with kickoff set for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Deportivo Saprissa has a 47% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Sporting San Jose victory are each at 26%. The expected goals are 1.71 for Saprissa and 1.23 for San Jose, indicating a potential edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Deportivo Saprissa with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Sporting San Jose has won five of their last six. In their last nine encounters, Saprissa has secured six victories, with San Jose winning two and one match ending in a draw. Over 2.5 goals are projected at 56%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 59%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Saprissa
Sporting San Jose
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 47.5% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Sporting San Jose | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose stats
Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose recent form
| Deportivo Saprissa |
WLWWLW |
| Sporting San Jose |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose season so far
Deportivo Saprissa record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sporting San Jose record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sporting San Jose | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Sporting San Jose | Deportivo Saprissa | Copa Costa Rica | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-06 | Deportivo Saprissa | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Sporting San Jose | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Sporting San Jose | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Deportivo Saprissa | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sporting San Jose | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Deportivo Saprissa | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Deportivo Saprissa | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.