San Carlos
vs
CS Cartagines
1 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | J. Rivera Stuart | ||
| 45′ | E. Hernandez | ||
| 45′ | M. Moran | ||
| 46′ | D. Gonzalez HernandezC. Barahona | ||
| 46′ | M. VillalobosTepa | ||
| 60′ | E. HernandezJ. Pilarte | ||
| 60′ | R. CordobaC. Martinez | ||
| 60′ | J. Rivera StuartG. Castillo Cespedes | ||
| 62′ | J. Cortes | ||
| 66′ | J. CortesC. Montero | ||
| 66′ | B. AlfaroD. Lopez | ||
| 74′ | K. Cerdas | ||
| 74′ | P. FonsecaJ. Valverde | ||
| 79′ | E. BrenesA. Mora | ||
| 79′ | B. MartinezR. Vidal | ||
| 90′ | K. Briceno | ||
| 90′ | A. Hernandez |
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs CS Cartagines
| Probability | San Carlos | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 27.9% | 46.9% |
| Market | 33.7% | 30.4% | 35.9% |
| Final | 31.6% | 29.8% | 38.7% |
| Edge | -8.4% | -2.5% | +11.0% |
Why CS Cartagines
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- The market prices CS Cartagines below the model: +11.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Carlos and CS Cartagines expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
San Carlos and CS Cartagines attack and defence ratings
San Carlos
CS Cartagines
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines: result vs prediction
San Carlos 1 – 0 CS Cartagines
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 38.7% | 2.58 | +11.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Carlos | 31.6% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| CS Cartagines | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines stats
San Carlos and CS Cartagines recent form
| San Carlos |
WWLWWL |
| CS Cartagines |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Carlos and CS Cartagines going into this match
San Carlos record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | CS Cartagines | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-02 | San Carlos | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | CS Cartagines | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Carlos | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-17 | San Carlos | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-24 | CS Cartagines | San Carlos | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-17 | CS Cartagines | San Carlos | Primera División | 4-4 |
| 2024-07-25 | San Carlos | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | CS Cartagines | San Carlos | Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-22 | San Carlos | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Carlos vs CS Cartagines odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 30.4%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 2.80 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.10 | 2.52 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 2.80 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 2.92 | 2.70 |
| SBO | 2.44 | 2.94 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .