Escorpiones Belén
vs
Puntarenas FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Escorpiones Belén
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC
| Probability | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.4% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Escorpiones Belén
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.13.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC match preview
Escorpiones Belén faces Puntarenas FC in a Costa Rica Primera División match, with the model giving Escorpiones a 44% chance of victory, while both a draw and a Puntarenas win are at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Escorpiones, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Escorpiones Belén stand at 1.50, compared to 1.15 for Puntarenas FC.
In terms of recent form, Escorpiones Belén has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Puntarenas FC has one win, two draws, and three losses in the same period. Historically, in their last seven encounters, Escorpiones has yet to secure a win, with one draw and six victories for Puntarenas FC. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC attack and defence ratings
Escorpiones Belén
Puntarenas FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 44.4% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Puntarenas FC | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Escorpiones Belén win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC stats
Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC recent form
| Escorpiones Belén |
WWLLLL |
| Puntarenas FC |
LDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC season so far
Escorpiones Belén record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Puntarenas FC | Escorpiones Belén | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Puntarenas FC | Escorpiones Belén | Copa Costa Rica | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Escorpiones Belén | Puntarenas FC | Copa Costa Rica | 2-3 |
| 2022-04-10 | Escorpiones Belén | Puntarenas FC | Liga de Ascenso | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-24 | Puntarenas FC | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso | 3-0 |
| 2021-11-05 | Puntarenas FC | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso | 6-2 |
| 2021-09-18 | Escorpiones Belén | Puntarenas FC | Liga de Ascenso | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.