Costa Rica Primera División · ·Apertura - 13

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting San Jose

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia

Escorpiones Belén 35%
Draw 27%
Sporting San Jose 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Sporting San Jose wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEscorpiones BelénDrawSporting San Jose
Model34.9%27.0%38.0%
Market———
Final34.9%27.0%38.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Sporting San Jose

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose match preview

Escorpiones Belén faces Sporting San Jose in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a closely contested game. Escorpiones Belén has a 35% chance of winning, while Sporting San Jose holds a slight edge at 38%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2, with expected goals of 1.43 for Escorpiones Belén and 1.49 for Sporting San Jose.

Recent form indicates a struggle for Escorpiones Belén, who have recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Sporting San Jose has shown better form with four wins and two losses in the same period. Additionally, there is a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score in this encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Escorpiones Be ↓ / Sporting San J → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose expected goals

Escorpiones Belén 1.42
Sporting San Jose 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.91

Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose attack and defence ratings

Escorpiones Belén

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Sporting San Jose

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 13 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting San Jose 38.0% 2.63 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Escorpiones Belén34.9%
Draw27.0%
Sporting San Jose38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.1%
Handicap -1Sporting San Jose win18.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose stats

Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose season so far

league record

Escorpiones Belén record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting San Jose record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Escorpiones Belén wins 0Draws 1Sporting San Jose wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-18Sporting San JoseEscorpiones BelénCosta Rica Primera División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Sporting San Jose Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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