CS Herediano
vs
CS Cartagines
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Cartagines
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines
| Probability | CS Herediano | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.6% | 26.8% | 53.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.6% | 26.8% | 53.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Cartagines
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines match preview
CS Herediano faces CS Cartagines in a Costa Rica Primera División match with kickoff set for October 25, 2026. According to our model, CS Herediano has a 20% chance of winning, while CS Cartagines is favored with a 54% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Expected goals for CS Herediano stand at 0.91, compared to 1.65 for CS Cartagines, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
In terms of recent form, CS Herediano has struggled with a record of D-L-L-W-L-L, while CS Cartagines has shown stronger performance with W-L-L-W-W-W. Historically, in their last seven encounters, CS Herediano has won four times, with Cartagines securing two victories and one draw. The model suggests a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines attack and defence ratings
CS Herediano
CS Cartagines
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 19.6% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| CS Cartagines | 53.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-2 | 10.5% |
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines stats
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines recent form
| CS Herediano |
DLLWLL |
| CS Cartagines |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines season so far
CS Herediano record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | CS Cartagines | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | CS Herediano | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | CS Cartagines | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | CS Cartagines | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-15 | CS Herediano | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | CS Herediano | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-11 | CS Cartagines | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.