Costa Rica Primera División · ·Apertura - 14

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos

Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Cartagines

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.22.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CS Cartagines 43%
Draw 28%
San Carlos 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance CS Cartagines wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Cartagines vs San Carlos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS CartaginesDrawSan Carlos
Model43.1%27.6%29.3%
Market———
Final43.1%27.6%29.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why CS Cartagines

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.22.

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos match preview

CS Cartagines faces San Carlos in an upcoming Costa Rica Primera División match, with our model giving CS Cartagines a 43% chance of winning, while San Carlos has a 29% probability. The expected goals for CS Cartagines stand at 1.53, compared to San Carlos's 1.22. Recent form shows CS Cartagines with a record of L-W-W-L-L-W, while San Carlos has performed well with W-D-L-W-W-W.

In their last ten encounters, CS Cartagines has dominated with 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 win for San Carlos. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of CS Cartagines, with a 9% probability. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Cartagines ↓ / San Carlos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

CS Cartagines and San Carlos expected goals

CS Cartagines 1.53
San Carlos 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.75

CS Cartagines and San Carlos attack and defence ratings

CS Cartagines

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.03 +3%

San Carlos

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 14 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Cartagines 43.1% 2.32 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.8% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.9% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Cartagines43.1%
Draw27.6%
San Carlos29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%
Both teams to scoreYes56.4%
No43.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.9%
Handicap -1CS Cartagines win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss56.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.1%
1-08.6%

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos stats

CS Cartagines and San Carlos recent form

newest first
CS Cartagines LWWLLW
San Carlos WDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Cartagines and San Carlos season so far

league record

CS Cartagines record

  • They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

San Carlos record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6CS Cartagines wins 3Draws 1San Carlos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-21San CarlosCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División1-0
2026-04-22CS CartaginesSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División2-1
2026-03-02San CarlosCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División1-1
2025-11-02CS CartaginesSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División2-1
2025-09-14San CarlosCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División0-2
2025-04-17San CarlosCS CartaginesPrimera División1-2
2025-01-24CS CartaginesSan CarlosPrimera División2-1
2024-10-17CS CartaginesSan CarlosPrimera División4-4
2024-07-25San CarlosCS CartaginesPrimera División0-0
2024-04-13CS CartaginesSan CarlosPrimera División3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Cartagines vs San Carlos odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 CS Cartagines Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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