Deportivo Saprissa
vs
LD Alajuelense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.32.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense
| Probability | Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | LD Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.6% | 25.5% | 27.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.6% | 25.5% | 27.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Saprissa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.32.
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense match preview
Deportivo Saprissa faces LD Alajuelense in a Costa Rica Primera División clash, with the model giving Deportivo a 47% chance of winning, while Alajuelense's probability stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Deportivo, with an expected goals tally of 1.75 for Saprissa and 1.32 for Alajuelense.
Recent form shows Deportivo Saprissa struggling with a record of L-L-W-L-W-L, while LD Alajuelense has performed better, recording W-W-D-D-W-L. The model indicates a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score, suggesting a potentially competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Saprissa
LD Alajuelense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 46.6% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| LD Alajuelense | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense stats
Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense recent form
| Deportivo Saprissa |
LLWLWL |
| LD Alajuelense |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense season so far
Deportivo Saprissa record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
LD Alajuelense record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-19 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Deportivo Saprissa | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deportivo Saprissa | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-20 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Deportivo Saprissa | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Deportivo Saprissa | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-22 | LD Alajuelense | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.