Perez Zeledon
vs
Puntarenas FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Puntarenas FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC
| Probability | Perez Zeledon | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 26.5% | 50.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.8% | 26.5% | 50.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Puntarenas FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC match preview
In the upcoming match between Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Puntarenas FC holding a 45% chance of winning compared to Perez Zeledon's 27% and a 28% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Expected goals suggest that Perez Zeledon will generate around 1.10, while Puntarenas FC is forecasted to score approximately 1.48.
Recent form shows Perez Zeledon struggling with five games resulting in two losses, two draws, and one win, while Puntarenas FC has a mixed record with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Perez Zeledon has secured one win, with Puntarenas FC winning two and two matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC attack and defence ratings
Perez Zeledon
Puntarenas FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puntarenas FC | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 22.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Puntarenas FC | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puntarenas FC win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.7% |
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC stats
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC recent form
| Perez Zeledon |
LLDLLW |
| Puntarenas FC |
WWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC season so far
Perez Zeledon record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Puntarenas FC | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Perez Zeledon | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Puntarenas FC | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Puntarenas FC | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Perez Zeledon | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.