Puntarenas FC
vs
San Carlos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Puntarenas FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
| Probability | Puntarenas FC | Draw | San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 28.3% | 35.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 28.3% | 35.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos match preview
Puntarenas FC hosts San Carlos in a tightly contested matchup, with our model assigning a 37% probability of a home victory, while San Carlos stands at 35%. The expected goals are closely matched, with Puntarenas FC at 1.36 and San Carlos at 1.32, indicating a competitive game. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Puntarenas FC, which has an 8% probability.
Recent form shows Puntarenas FC with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while San Carlos has been in strong form, winning four of their last five. In their last ten encounters, Puntarenas FC has secured three wins, San Carlos four, and there have been three draws, highlighting the balanced nature of this rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puntarenas FC and San Carlos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Puntarenas FC and San Carlos attack and defence ratings
Puntarenas FC
San Carlos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puntarenas FC | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puntarenas FC | 36.7% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| San Carlos | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puntarenas FC win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos stats
Puntarenas FC and San Carlos recent form
| Puntarenas FC |
WWLDWD |
| San Carlos |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puntarenas FC and San Carlos season so far
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
San Carlos record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-22 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-24 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-16 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.