Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 16

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon

1 – 1 Full time

6′Y. Piedra
8′M. Nunez
24′J. Aguirre
25′R. Rodriguez
43′R. CordobaA. Guevara
46′A. FallasK. Carvajal
66′W. Renteria
67′Y. PiedraJ. Aguilar
67′J. Rivera StuartC. Agualimpia
73′W. RenteriaK. Gonzalez
84′A. AmadorL. Hernandez
88′G. Castillo CespedesK. Gomez
88′J. ValverdeA. Carmona
90′A. PorrasK. Rios
90′R. RodriguezK. Guzman
90′R. Vidal
90′R. Vidal
90′K. Gonzalez
San Carlos 63%
Draw 22%
Perez Zeledon 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan CarlosDrawPerez Zeledon
Model63.4%23.8%12.8%
Market62.9%22.0%15.2%
Final63.0%22.4%14.6%
Edge+0.1%+0.5%-0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why San Carlos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Carlos ↓ / Perez Zeledon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 11% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

San Carlos and Perez Zeledon expected goals

San Carlos 1.85
Perez Zeledon 0.72

Total expected goals: 2.57

San Carlos and Perez Zeledon attack and defence ratings

San Carlos

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Perez Zeledon

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon: result vs prediction

San Carlos 1 – 1 Perez Zeledon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Carlos 63.0% 1.59 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.4% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 San Carlos win 38.5% 2.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Carlos63.0%
Draw22.4%
Perez Zeledon14.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.4%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1San Carlos win38.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss36.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.1%
2-013.1%
1-111.2%

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon stats

San Carlos and Perez Zeledon recent form

newest first
San Carlos WLWDLW
Perez Zeledon LDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Carlos and Perez Zeledon going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Carlos record

  • They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Perez Zeledon record

  • They have won 2 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3San Carlos wins 3Draws 4Perez Zeledon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-12Perez ZeledonSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División0-2
2026-04-25San CarlosPerez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera División1-1
2026-01-13Perez ZeledonSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División3-1
2025-10-19Perez ZeledonSan CarlosCosta Rica Primera División1-3
2025-09-02San CarlosPerez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera División0-1
2025-04-05San CarlosPerez ZeledonPrimera División0-2
2025-02-08Perez ZeledonSan CarlosPrimera División1-0
2024-10-21San CarlosPerez ZeledonPrimera División1-1
2024-08-04Perez ZeledonSan CarlosPrimera División0-0
2024-04-07San CarlosPerez ZeledonPrimera División3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.9%, draw 22.0%, away 15.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.42 4.15 6.22
Bet365 1.48 3.90 6.00
BetVictor 1.44 4.10 6.50
Betano 1.50 4.15 5.90
Betfair 1.47 4.40 6.00
Dafabet 1.46 4.30 6.00
Marathonbet 1.41 4.15 5.95
Pinnacle 1.47 4.61 6.52
SBO 1.44 3.76 5.32
William Hill 1.44 3.90 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.45 ▼ -0.10
X 4.15 ▲ +0.25
2 6.00 ▲ +0.75

5 snapshots recorded, from .