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Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 16

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose

2 – 0 Full time

43′A. Soto
45′A. Chevez
46′A. ChevezR. Bolanos
58′K. Michel
59′C. PerezL. Diaz
60′J. PintoM. Urena
60′G. LeivaJ. Navarro
63′J. Mendez
66′J. Mendez
66′J. Mendez
69′R. CarballoR. Ramirez
74′R. Cisneros
77′R. Wilson
78′C. BorgesA. Salazar
78′R. CisnerosA. Zaldivar
78′JuanpiA. Hernandez
79′A. Zaldivar
82′C. PinedaD. Colindres
86′K. Espinoza
88′A. Zaldivar
90′K. MichelR. Parkins
90′A. Salazar

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela

LD Alajuelense 54%
Draw 24%
Sporting San Jose 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLD AlajuelenseDrawSporting San Jose
Model52.7%22.7%24.6%
Market54.9%24.5%20.6%
Final54.4%24.0%21.6%
Edge-0.6%-0.5%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why LD Alajuelense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.41.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LD Alajuelense ↓ / Sporting San J → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 6% 2 7% 9% 7% 3 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

LD Alajuelense and Sporting San Jose expected goals

LD Alajuelense 2.11
Sporting San Jose 1.41

Total expected goals: 3.52

LD Alajuelense and Sporting San Jose attack and defence ratings

LD Alajuelense

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Sporting San Jose

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose: result vs prediction

LD Alajuelense 2 – 0 Sporting San Jose

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LD Alajuelense 54.4% 1.84 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.4% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LD Alajuelense54.4%
Draw24.0%
Sporting San Jose21.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%
Both teams to scoreYes67.3%
No32.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.4%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)45.6%
Handicap -1LD Alajuelense win32.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-19.3%
2-06.6%

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose stats

LD Alajuelense and Sporting San Jose recent form

newest first
LD Alajuelense WDWWDD
Sporting San Jose WWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LD Alajuelense and Sporting San Jose going into this match

league record before kick-off

LD Alajuelense record

  • They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).

Sporting San Jose record

  • They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6LD Alajuelense wins 3Draws 1Sporting San Jose wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelenseCosta Rica Primera División1-1
2026-04-12Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelenseCosta Rica Primera División0-2
2026-02-16LD AlajuelenseSporting San JoseCosta Rica Primera División1-2
2025-11-23LD AlajuelenseSporting San JoseCosta Rica Primera División2-0
2025-07-28Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelenseCosta Rica Primera División1-2
2025-04-17LD AlajuelenseSporting San JosePrimera División0-0
2025-02-13Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelensePrimera División0-1
2024-11-07LD AlajuelenseSporting San JosePrimera División1-0
2024-09-20Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelensePrimera División0-1
2024-05-05Sporting San JoseLD AlajuelensePrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 24.5%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.74 4.54
Bet365 1.65 3.60 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 3.70 4.50
Betano 1.72 3.70 4.35
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.50
Dafabet 1.70 3.80 4.40
Marathonbet 1.60 3.74 4.45
Pinnacle 1.70 3.92 4.72
SBO 1.63 3.42 4.10
William Hill 1.65 3.50 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.66 ▲ +0.01
X 3.72 ▼ -0.02
2 4.43 ▼ -0.07

5 snapshots recorded, from .