Sporting San Jose
vs
Perez Zeledon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting San Jose
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon
| Probability | Sporting San Jose | Draw | Perez Zeledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.0% | 15.7% | 9.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 75.0% | 15.7% | 9.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting San Jose
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon match preview
Sporting San Jose enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 75%, reflecting their recent form of three wins and a draw in the last five matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.76, suggesting a robust offensive performance, while Perez Zeledon struggles with an expected goals figure of just 0.93 and a recent record of six matches without a win, including five losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and a 57% likelihood that both teams will score. Historically, Sporting San Jose has performed well against Perez Zeledon, with four wins and four draws in their last ten encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon attack and defence ratings
Sporting San Jose
Perez Zeledon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 75.0% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Perez Zeledon | 9.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win | 55.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 25.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 3-0 | 8.8% |
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon stats
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon recent form
| Sporting San Jose |
WDLWWW |
| Perez Zeledon |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon season so far
Sporting San Jose record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Perez Zeledon record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sporting San Jose | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2026-01-27 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Sporting San Jose | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Sporting San Jose | Perez Zeledon | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-11 | Sporting San Jose | Perez Zeledon | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-30 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-26 | Perez Zeledon | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.