CS Herediano
vs
Deportivo Saprissa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
| Probability | CS Herediano | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 27.7% | 40.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.2% | 27.7% | 40.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa match preview
CS Herediano faces Deportivo Saprissa in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive contest. According to our model, Deportivo Saprissa holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of winning, while CS Herediano has a 32% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Saprissa, with expected goals of 1.30 for Herediano and 1.47 for Saprissa.
Recent form shows CS Herediano with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Deportivo Saprissa has struggled, recording two wins and four losses. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters is evenly matched, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 52%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 57%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa attack and defence ratings
CS Herediano
Deportivo Saprissa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 32.2% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 40.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa stats
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa recent form
| CS Herediano |
WWDLLW |
| Deportivo Saprissa |
LLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa season so far
CS Herediano record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Deportivo Saprissa record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo Saprissa | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2026-07-18 | CS Herediano | Deportivo Saprissa | Recopa | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-17 | CS Herediano | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Deportivo Saprissa | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Deportivo Saprissa | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-18 | CS Herediano | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Deportivo Saprissa | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | CS Herediano | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-3 |
| 2025-05-15 | CS Herediano | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Deportivo Saprissa | CS Herediano | Primera División | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.