Sporting San Jose
vs
CS Herediano
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting San Jose
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.47.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano
| Probability | Sporting San Jose | Draw | CS Herediano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 23.3% | 27.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.5% | 23.3% | 27.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting San Jose
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano match preview
Sporting San Jose faces CS Herediano in an upcoming match with a predicted 50% chance of victory for San Jose, while Herediano has a 27% chance. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of San Jose, with an expected goals tally of 2.02 for San Jose and 1.47 for Herediano. Both teams are projected to score, with a 68% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Sporting San Jose has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while CS Herediano has two wins, two losses, and one draw. Historically, in their last five encounters, Sporting San Jose has secured one win, with CS Herediano winning two and two matches ending in a draw. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano attack and defence ratings
Sporting San Jose
CS Herediano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 49.5% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| CS Herediano | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano stats
Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano recent form
| Sporting San Jose |
WDLWWW |
| CS Herediano |
WWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano season so far
Sporting San Jose record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CS Herediano record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | CS Herediano | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-26 | CS Herediano | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Sporting San Jose | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Sporting San Jose | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | CS Herediano | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.