Escorpiones Belén
vs
LD Alajuelense
Garuda Lions Prediction: LD Alajuelense
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.20.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense
| Probability | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | LD Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 24.2% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.5% | 24.2% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why LD Alajuelense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense match preview
Escorpiones Belén faces LD Alajuelense in the Costa Rica Primera División with a kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, Escorpiones Belén has a 22% chance of winning, while LD Alajuelense holds a 53% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is set at 60%, and both teams scoring is projected at 61%.
In terms of recent form, Escorpiones Belén has recorded two losses, one win, and three additional losses in their last six matches. Conversely, LD Alajuelense has a more favorable record with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six outings. The expected goals for Escorpiones Belén stand at 1.20, while LD Alajuelense is forecasted to score 1.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Escorpiones Belén and LD Alajuelense expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Escorpiones Belén and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings
Escorpiones Belén
LD Alajuelense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LD Alajuelense | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 22.5% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| LD Alajuelense | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | LD Alajuelense win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense stats
Escorpiones Belén and LD Alajuelense recent form
| Escorpiones Belén |
LLWWLL |
| LD Alajuelense |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Escorpiones Belén and LD Alajuelense season so far
Escorpiones Belén record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LD Alajuelense record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | LD Alajuelense | Escorpiones Belén | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.