CS Herediano
vs
Inter San Carlos
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Herediano
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.15.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CS Herediano is the favourite, not a value bet.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos
| Probability | CS Herediano | Draw | Inter San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 27.9% | 27.7% |
| Market | 56.7% | 24.4% | 18.9% |
| Final | 53.6% | 25.3% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
Why CS Herediano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (our 53.6% × 1.67 − 1).
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos match preview
CS Herediano faces Inter San Carlos in their upcoming Costa Rica Primera División match. According to our model, CS Herediano has a 54% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and Inter San Carlos at 21%. The expected goals for CS Herediano is 1.51, compared to 1.15 for Inter San Carlos. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 9% chance.
In terms of recent form, CS Herediano has recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. In contrast, Inter San Carlos has one win, three losses, and one draw in their recent outings. Both teams have a 55% probability of scoring, and there is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos attack and defence ratings
CS Herediano
Inter San Carlos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 53.6% | 1.86 | -3.1% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 53.6% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Inter San Carlos | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Herediano win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos stats
CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos recent form
| CS Herediano |
LLWWDL |
| Inter San Carlos |
DLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos season so far
CS Herediano record
- They have won 3 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 15 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter San Carlos record
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Inter San Carlos | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.7%, draw 24.4%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.74 | 4.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.74 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.38 | 4.44 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .