Costa Rica Primera División · ·Apertura - 12

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano

Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Herediano

0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Perez Zeledon 28%
Draw 28%
CS Herediano 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance CS Herediano wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPerez ZeledonDrawCS Herediano
Model38.2%32.2%29.7%
Market24.4%26.9%48.7%
Final27.8%28.3%43.9%
Edge+13.8%+5.2%-19.0%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano match preview

In the upcoming match between Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with CS Herediano having a 44% chance of winning compared to Perez Zeledon's 28% and a draw also at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a 10% probability. The expected goals for Perez Zeledon stand at 1.15, while CS Herediano is slightly lower at 0.99.

Recent form shows Perez Zeledon with a record of L-D-L-L-W-D, while CS Herediano has struggled with D-L-L-W-L-L. In their last 10 head-to-head matches, CS Herediano has dominated with 7 wins, compared to Perez Zeledon's 2 victories and 1 draw. Both teams have a 44% chance of scoring, with the model suggesting a 36% likelihood of over 2.5 goals.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Perez Zeledon ↓ / CS Herediano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano expected goals

Perez Zeledon 1.15
CS Herediano 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.14

Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano attack and defence ratings

Perez Zeledon

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.32 +32%

CS Herediano

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Herediano 43.9% 2.28 -19.0% 2.00
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.9% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.3% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Perez Zeledon27.8%
Draw28.3%
CS Herediano43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.1%
Under 2.563.9%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)72.2%
Handicap -1CS Herediano win11.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss70.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-013.1%
1-012.2%

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano stats

Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano recent form

newest first
Perez Zeledon LDLLWD
CS Herediano DLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano season so far

league record

Perez Zeledon record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Herediano record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Perez Zeledon wins 1Draws 7CS Herediano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05CS HeredianoPerez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera División2-3
2026-04-23Perez ZeledonCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División0-1
2026-03-01CS HeredianoPerez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera División3-0
2025-12-07Perez ZeledonCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División1-3
2025-08-17CS HeredianoPerez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera División2-1
2025-03-27CS HeredianoPerez ZeledonPrimera División3-0
2025-01-31Perez ZeledonCS HeredianoPrimera División0-1
2024-11-03CS HeredianoPerez ZeledonPrimera División4-1
2024-07-21Perez ZeledonCS HeredianoPrimera División0-0
2024-05-05Perez ZeledonCS HeredianoPrimera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.9%, draw 27.3%, away 47.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.62 3.35 1.88
Bet365 3.70 3.30 1.85
BetVictor 3.90 3.40 1.83
Betano 3.60 3.30 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.30 1.95
Dafabet 3.55 3.30 1.95
Marathonbet 3.54 3.35 1.86
Pinnacle 4.00 3.67 1.88
William Hill 3.70 3.30 1.83

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 ▲ +0.28
X 3.35 ▲ +0.05
2 1.85 ▼ -0.09

7 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 CS Herediano Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now