Baník Ostrava II
vs
Arsenal Česká Lípa
0 – 1 Full time
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
| Probability | Baník Ostrava II | Draw | Arsenal Česká Lípa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 17.7% | 13.7% |
| Market | 55.1% | 23.0% | 21.9% |
| Final | 58.5% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +13.5% | -5.3% | -8.2% |
Why Baník Ostrava II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Baník Ostrava II below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa attack and defence ratings
Baník Ostrava II
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa: result vs prediction
Baník Ostrava II 0 – 1 Arsenal Česká Lípa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 58.5% | 1.71 | +13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 58.5% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win | 48.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 31.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa stats
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa recent form
| Baník Ostrava II |
WLLDWW |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa |
LDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa going into this match
Baník Ostrava II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Česká Lípa record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.0%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.25 | 4.21 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.25 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.51 | 4.17 |
| Superbet | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.73 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .