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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 6

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II

1 – 4 Full time

Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, TrinecReferee: V. Opocensky

Třinec 35%
Draw 28%
Baník Ostrava II 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTřinecDrawBaník Ostrava II
Model34.1%30.5%35.4%
Market34.9%26.8%38.3%
Final34.7%27.7%37.6%
Edge-0.8%+3.7%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Baník Ostrava II

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Třinec ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Třinec and Baník Ostrava II expected goals

Třinec 1.18
Baník Ostrava II 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.37

Třinec and Baník Ostrava II attack and defence ratings

Třinec

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Baník Ostrava II

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II: result vs prediction

Třinec 1 – 4 Baník Ostrava II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baník Ostrava II 37.6% 2.66 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.8% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Třinec34.7%
Draw27.7%
Baník Ostrava II37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.6%
No50.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)65.3%
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava II win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss64.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.6%
0-19.9%

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II stats

Třinec and Baník Ostrava II recent form

newest first
Třinec DDLDD
Baník Ostrava II LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Třinec and Baník Ostrava II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Třinec record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.

Baník Ostrava II record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Třinec wins 0Draws 3Baník Ostrava II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-29Baník Ostrava IITřinecFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-06-08TřinecBaník Ostrava II3. liga - MSFL2-3
2023-11-05Baník Ostrava IITřinec3. liga - MSFL5-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 26.8%, away 38.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 3.32 2.34
Bet365 2.55 3.30 2.35
Betano 2.65 3.45 2.42
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.38
Dafabet 2.65 3.45 2.42
Marathonbet 2.60 3.32 2.34
Pinnacle 2.59 3.47 2.36
William Hill 2.62 3.25 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.29
X 3.38 ▲ +0.16
2 2.37 ▲ +0.04

7 snapshots recorded, from .