Vlašim
vs
Třinec
2 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | J. Hrubes | ||
| 25′ | S. Pikolon | ||
| 39′ | J. Bolf | ||
| 65′ | B. DjordjicR. Teterja | ||
| 65′ | A. NguyenM. Samiec | ||
| 65′ | C. AgboR. Dedic | ||
| 75′ | D. SoukenikD. Hajek | ||
| 75′ | J. HrubesJ. Hodek | ||
| 81′ | M. Samiec | ||
| 81′ | N. ZinhasovicM. Vlachovsky | ||
| 81′ | T. OmastaM. Obuch | ||
| 82′ | S. Pikolon | ||
| 89′ | E. SehicL. Dadak | ||
| 90′ | J. DufekB. Ahmed |
Vlašim vs Třinec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vlašim vs Třinec
| Probability | Vlašim | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.5% | 23.8% | 18.8% |
| Market | 58.2% | 22.8% | 19.0% |
| Final | 58.0% | 23.1% | 18.9% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
Why Vlašim
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vlašim and Třinec expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Vlašim and Třinec attack and defence ratings
Vlašim
Třinec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vlašim vs Třinec: result vs prediction
Vlašim 2 – 1 Třinec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vlašim vs Třinec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vlašim | 58.0% | 1.72 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vlašim | 58.0% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Třinec | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vlašim win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Vlašim vs Třinec stats
Vlašim and Třinec recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vlašim and Třinec going into this match
Vlašim record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Třinec record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
Vlašim vs Třinec head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | Vlašim | Třinec | FNL | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-31 | Třinec | Vlašim | FNL | 4-0 |
| 2022-05-06 | Vlašim | Třinec | FNL | 4-1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Třinec | Vlašim | FNL | 0-1 |
| 2021-03-21 | Vlašim | Třinec | FNL | 1-0 |
| 2020-11-12 | Třinec | Vlašim | FNL | 3-3 |
| 2020-07-17 | Třinec | Vlašim | FNL | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-29 | Vlašim | Třinec | FNL | 0-2 |
| 2019-05-08 | Vlašim | Třinec | FNL | 0-3 |
| 2018-10-27 | Třinec | Vlašim | FNL | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vlašim vs Třinec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 22.8%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.94 | 4.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.94 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.13 | 4.46 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.68 | 4.26 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .