FNL · Full time ·Matchday 7

Opava vs Dukla Praha

1 – 2 Full time

20′R. Zalesak
37′O. Lehoczki
42′O. Tessilimi
46′D. ZamazalD. Velasquez
46′T. SchanelecB. Diallo
46′O. TessilimiJ. Okebugwu
62′P. JuritkaB. Sy
65′R. Mikus
67′J. SvozilA. Franke
74′F. CejkaA. Aidara
74′T. MudryF. Stepanek
83′J. Janoscin
83′S. SebrleS. Hindi
86′J. Plsek
87′S. Hindi
88′R. ZalesakL. Branecky
88′B. LacikA. Diao

Simply Arena, OpavaReferee: L. Nehasil

Opava 35%
Draw 28%
Dukla Praha 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Opava vs Dukla Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Opava vs Dukla Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOpavaDrawDukla Praha
Model41.4%26.9%31.7%
Market32.6%28.6%38.8%
Final34.8%28.2%37.1%
Edge+8.8%-1.7%-7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Dukla Praha

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Opava ↓ / Dukla Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Opava and Dukla Praha expected goals

Opava 1.56
Dukla Praha 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.90

Opava and Dukla Praha attack and defence ratings

Opava

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Dukla Praha

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Opava vs Dukla Praha: result vs prediction

Opava 1 – 2 Dukla Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Opava vs Dukla Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dukla Praha 37.1% 2.70 -7.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Opava34.8%
Draw28.2%
Dukla Praha37.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%
Both teams to scoreYes59.5%
No40.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.9%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.2%
Handicap -1Dukla Praha win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%

Opava vs Dukla Praha stats

Opava and Dukla Praha recent form

newest first
Opava DDLDLW
Dukla Praha WLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Opava and Dukla Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Opava record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Dukla Praha record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Opava vs Dukla Praha head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Opava wins 1Draws 3Dukla Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-25Dukla PrahaOpavaFriendlies Clubs4-2
2024-04-17Dukla PrahaOpavaFNL2-0
2024-02-25OpavaDukla PrahaCup2-0
2023-09-15OpavaDukla PrahaFNL1-0
2022-11-12Dukla PrahaOpavaFNL1-1
2022-08-05OpavaDukla PrahaFNL3-0
2022-03-25OpavaDukla PrahaFNL2-0
2021-08-27Dukla PrahaOpavaFNL3-1
2019-05-11OpavaDukla PrahaCzech Liga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Opava vs Dukla Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 28.4%, away 38.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.81 3.14 2.34
Bet365 2.62 3.20 2.35
BetVictor 2.75 3.40 2.30
Betano 2.75 3.30 2.40
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.30
Dafabet 2.80 3.30 2.43
Marathonbet 2.75 3.14 2.32
Pinnacle 2.83 3.19 2.35
SBO 2.65 3.02 2.16
Superbet 2.75 3.20 2.40
Unibet 2.50 3.15 2.50
William Hill 2.80 3.00 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.77 ▲ +0.32
X 3.17 ▼ -0.06
2 2.33 ▼ -0.34

9 snapshots recorded, from .