FNL · Full time ·Matchday 7

Karviná vs Kladno

2 – 0 Full time

12′R. Breite
56′R. Breite
62′A. KronusJ. Chytry
62′J. PiraF. Konate
62′T. PospisilO. Novotny
62′J. LackoS. Sulaiman
68′J. SelnarM. Yahaya
68′R. BreiteA. Markovic
72′D. GembickyD. Eichler
72′J. ChalupaJ. Hudec
79′H. HruskaV. Klimes
86′J. FleismanS. Misek
87′O. Conde

Town Stadium Karvina, KarvinaReferee: J. Wulkan

Karviná 61%
Draw 21%
Kladno 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Karviná vs Kladno overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karviná vs Kladno

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarvináDrawKladno
Model44.0%25.6%30.4%
Market67.0%19.7%13.3%
Final61.2%21.2%17.6%
Edge-23.0%+5.9%+17.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Karviná

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karviná ↓ / Kladno → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Karviná and Kladno expected goals

Karviná 1.71
Kladno 1.40

Total expected goals: 3.11

Karviná and Kladno attack and defence ratings

Karviná

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Kladno

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Karviná vs Kladno: result vs prediction

Karviná 2 – 0 Kladno

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Karviná vs Kladno markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Karviná 61.2% 1.63 -23.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karviná61.2%
Draw21.2%
Kladno17.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.4%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)38.8%
Handicap -1Karviná win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

Karviná vs Kladno stats

Karviná and Kladno recent form

newest first
Karviná LWWWWL
Kladno WLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Karviná and Kladno going into this match

league record before kick-off

Karviná record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kladno record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Karviná vs Kladno head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Karviná vs Kladno odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.7%, away 13.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.36 4.60 6.40
1xBet 1.34 4.65 7.13
Bet365 1.36 4.33 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.60 7.00
Betano 1.38 4.80 6.70
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.36 5.00 7.20
Marathonbet 1.34 4.60 6.70
Pinnacle 1.36 4.83 6.64
SBO 1.30 4.47 5.90
Unibet 1.32 4.70 7.00
William Hill 1.36 4.40 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.05
X 4.62 ▲ +0.38
2 6.85 ▼ -0.14

7 snapshots recorded, from .