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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 7

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II

1 – 1 Full time

8′J. Kolisek
43′D. Brezina
46′O. UllmanA. Fantis
46′A. CedergrenP. Potmesil
56′A. Fantis
58′D. Cerny
66′L. SavovicJ. Palivec
66′B. SzywalaO. Frolik
67′D. CernyJ. Simons
73′T. NecidD. Kohout
76′F. Idumbo-MuzamboL. Kodad
76′P. MoulisJ. Bzura
88′P. Behensky
89′A. RajnohaM. Palascak
90′F. Do MarcolinoY. Diarra

Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad LabemReferee: P. Orel

Ústí nad Labem 48%
Draw 24%
Slavia Praha II 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÚstí nad LabemDrawSlavia Praha II
Model58.3%20.6%21.1%
Market44.2%24.8%31.0%
Final47.7%23.8%28.5%
Edge+14.1%-4.2%-9.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Ústí nad Labem

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.42.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ústí nad Labem below the model: +14.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ústí nad Labem ↓ / Slavia Praha I → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 5% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 8% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Ústí nad Labem and Slavia Praha II expected goals

Ústí nad Labem 2.39
Slavia Praha II 1.42

Total expected goals: 3.81

Ústí nad Labem and Slavia Praha II attack and defence ratings

Ústí nad Labem

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Slavia Praha II

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II: result vs prediction

Ústí nad Labem 1 – 1 Slavia Praha II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ústí nad Labem 47.7% 2.10 +14.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.6% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ústí nad Labem47.7%
Draw23.8%
Slavia Praha II28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%
Both teams to scoreYes69.6%
No30.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)52.3%
Handicap -1Ústí nad Labem win37.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
1-18.3%
3-17.2%

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II stats

Ústí nad Labem and Slavia Praha II recent form

newest first
Ústí nad Labem WWDDWW
Slavia Praha II DWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ústí nad Labem and Slavia Praha II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ústí nad Labem record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slavia Praha II record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Ústí nad Labem wins 1Draws 1Slavia Praha II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16Ústí nad LabemSlavia Praha IIFNL2-1
2025-10-28Slavia Praha IIÚstí nad LabemFNL2-1
2025-01-29Slavia Praha IIÚstí nad LabemFriendlies Clubs2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 24.8%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.05 3.65 2.95
1xBet 1.99 3.64 3.08
Bet365 2.05 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.05 3.80 2.90
Betano 2.10 3.55 3.10
Betfair 2.00 3.80 2.88
Dafabet 2.09 3.70 3.10
Marathonbet 1.97 3.68 3.00
Pinnacle 2.05 3.87 2.89
SBO 1.99 3.35 2.72
Unibet 1.93 3.50 3.20
William Hill 2.05 3.50 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.17
X 3.65 ▲ +0.12
2 2.92 ▼ -0.80

7 snapshots recorded, from .