Garuda Lions
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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 8

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava

1 – 2 Full time

13′L. Moudry
30′P. Goj
43′O. Sambou
51′D. Brezina
53′P. Moulis
56′O. UllmanL. Kodad
56′D. CernyA. Fantis
68′D. Jambor
71′P. GojY. Diarra
71′D. RichterS. Osaghae
72′B. Labaran KhalidR. Mokrovics
77′L. MoudryR. Krivanek
79′T. Kott
80′P. MoulisJ. Bzura
89′T. OmotoyeJ. Haala
89′O. SambouM. Selicha
90′R. Mokrovics

Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad LabemReferee: M. Pansky

Ústí nad Labem 46%
Draw 27%
Vysočina Jihlava 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÚstí nad LabemDrawVysočina Jihlava
Model44.9%29.6%25.5%
Market46.4%25.6%28.0%
Final46.0%26.6%27.4%
Edge-1.5%+4.0%-2.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Ústí nad Labem

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ústí nad Labem ↓ / Vysočina Jihla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Ústí nad Labem and Vysočina Jihlava expected goals

Ústí nad Labem 1.39
Vysočina Jihlava 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.38

Ústí nad Labem and Vysočina Jihlava attack and defence ratings

Ústí nad Labem

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Vysočina Jihlava

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava: result vs prediction

Ústí nad Labem 1 – 2 Vysočina Jihlava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ústí nad Labem 46.0% 2.17 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.3% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ústí nad Labem46.0%
Draw26.6%
Vysočina Jihlava27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.7%
Under 2.557.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.6%
No51.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Ústí nad Labem win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-011.6%
0-010.5%

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava stats

Ústí nad Labem and Vysočina Jihlava recent form

newest first
Ústí nad Labem DWWDDW
Vysočina Jihlava WLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ústí nad Labem and Vysočina Jihlava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ústí nad Labem record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vysočina Jihlava record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Ústí nad Labem wins 1Draws 5Vysočina Jihlava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFNL3-1
2025-07-18Ústí nad LabemVysočina JihlavaFNL2-1
2025-01-18Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-03-16Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFNL2-1
2021-07-30Ústí nad LabemVysočina JihlavaFNL1-2
2021-03-24Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFNL1-2
2020-09-10Ústí nad LabemVysočina JihlavaFNL2-0
2020-07-14Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFNL2-3
2020-02-28Vysočina JihlavaÚstí nad LabemFriendlies Clubs5-4
2019-07-22Ústí nad LabemVysočina JihlavaFNL0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ústí nad Labem vs Vysočina Jihlava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 25.8%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.93 3.54 3.32
888Sport 1.85 3.20 3.80
Bet365 2.00 3.40 3.10
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.30
Betano 1.87 3.50 3.85
Betfair 1.85 3.60 3.60
Dafabet 1.92 3.50 3.80
Marathonbet 1.91 3.54 3.26
Pinnacle 1.96 3.75 3.18
Superbet 1.90 3.40 3.65
Unibet 1.85 3.50 3.40
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.13
X 3.54 ▼ -0.11
2 3.23 ▼ -0.59

7 snapshots recorded, from .