Baník Ostrava II
vs
Ústí nad Labem
0 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | D. Brezina | ||
| 35′ | M. Ouly | ||
| 59′ | P. Goj | ||
| 60′ | P. GojD. Richter | ||
| 60′ | S. OsaghaeJ. Bzura | ||
| 60′ | A. FialaD. Nemec | ||
| 60′ | M. TemelS. Drozd | ||
| 70′ | A. FantisD. Cerny | ||
| 70′ | F. Idumbo-MuzamboN. Piralic | ||
| 75′ | S. Drozd | ||
| 75′ | M. BittaP. A. Thioro Diop | ||
| 80′ | O. Ullman | ||
| 81′ | P. MoulisT. Berelidze | ||
| 83′ | J. Peterka | ||
| 85′ | T. SirotekF. Rajcan | ||
| 85′ | D. RehacekU. Nyah |
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem
| Probability | Baník Ostrava II | Draw | Ústí nad Labem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 25.8% | 22.5% |
| Market | 43.2% | 25.6% | 31.2% |
| Final | 45.3% | 25.6% | 29.0% |
| Edge | +8.5% | +0.2% | -8.7% |
Why Baník Ostrava II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Baník Ostrava II below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Baník Ostrava II and Ústí nad Labem expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Baník Ostrava II and Ústí nad Labem attack and defence ratings
Baník Ostrava II
Ústí nad Labem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem: result vs prediction
Baník Ostrava II 0 – 2 Ústí nad Labem
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 45.3% | 2.21 | +8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 45.3% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Ústí nad Labem | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem stats
Baník Ostrava II and Ústí nad Labem recent form
| Baník Ostrava II |
WDWLWL |
| Ústí nad Labem |
LDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Baník Ostrava II and Ústí nad Labem going into this match
Baník Ostrava II record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 61% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ústí nad Labem record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Baník Ostrava II | Ústí nad Labem | FNL | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Ústí nad Labem | Baník Ostrava II | FNL | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.6%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.48 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.48 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.62 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .