FNL · Full time ·Matchday 9

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

2 – 1 Full time

17′B. Lacik
29′J. Janoscin
35′B. Lacik
37′V. Dudl
39′F. Havelka
41′A. Ondracek
46′A. ZouharP. Schon
56′A. OndracekL. Dufek
56′J. VostrelM. Simon
64′D. OwusuA. Diao
64′M. CervenkaN. Kljajic
72′B. LacikF. Cejka
77′P. JuritkaB. Sy
77′F. StepanekN. Turanjanin
81′V. DudlF. Kaza

Simply Arena, OpavaReferee: J. Benes

Opava 51%
Draw 26%
Arsenal Česká Lípa 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOpavaDrawArsenal Česká Lípa
Model43.5%27.6%28.9%
Market53.3%25.1%21.6%
Final50.9%25.7%23.4%
Edge-9.8%+2.4%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Opava

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Opava ↓ / Arsenal Česká → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa expected goals

Opava 1.54
Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.75

Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa attack and defence ratings

Opava

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa: result vs prediction

Opava 2 – 1 Arsenal Česká Lípa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Opava 50.9% 1.97 -9.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.6% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.5% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Opava50.9%
Draw25.7%
Arsenal Česká Lípa23.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.4%
No43.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.6%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.1%
Handicap -1Opava win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss56.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.6%

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa stats

Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Opava record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Opava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 25.1%, away 21.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.52 4.36
Bet365 1.70 3.50 4.33
BetVictor 1.70 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.78 3.70 4.05
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.20
Marathonbet 1.66 3.52 4.25
Pinnacle 1.75 3.71 4.00
William Hill 1.73 3.40 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.07
X 3.61 ▲ +0.11
2 4.20 ▲ +0.06

7 snapshots recorded, from .