FNL · Full time ·Matchday 9

Karviná vs Hanácká

3 – 2 Full time

23′A. Kronus
29′L. Holik
38′D. Kriz
43′A. Kronus
46′T. CelustkaD. Moucka
46′L. KubrZ. Toman
48′A. Cicovsky
56′T. Korycan
61′S. MisekJ. Pira
73′N. Milic
74′T. Korycan
76′A. Kronus
77′T. KorycanD. Polasek
77′D. HaisF. Zak
80′A. KronusO. Sasinka
80′J. SelnarM. Yahaya
84′L. HolikD. Polak
88′Z. Toman
90′R. BreiteJ. Hamza
90′J. Pira

Town Stadium Karvina, KarvinaReferee: D. Cerny

Karviná 68%
Draw 18%
Hanácká 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Karviná vs Hanácká overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karviná vs Hanácká

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarvináDrawHanácká
Model61.9%20.8%17.3%
Market70.0%17.7%12.4%
Final68.0%18.4%13.6%
Edge-8.1%+3.1%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Karviná

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karviná ↓ / Hanácká → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Karviná and Hanácká expected goals

Karviná 2.30
Hanácká 1.17

Total expected goals: 3.46

Karviná and Hanácká attack and defence ratings

Karviná

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Hanácká

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Karviná vs Hanácká: result vs prediction

Karviná 3 – 2 Hanácká

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Karviná vs Hanácká markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Karviná 68.0% 1.47 -8.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Karviná win 40.5% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karviná68.0%
Draw18.4%
Hanácká13.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.4%
12 (either side)81.6%
X2 (draw or away)32.0%
Handicap -1Karviná win40.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss38.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.6%
1-19.2%
2-08.3%

Karviná vs Hanácká stats

Karviná and Hanácká recent form

newest first
Karviná LWLWWW
Hanácká DDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Karviná and Hanácká going into this match

league record before kick-off

Karviná record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hanácká record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Karviná vs Hanácká head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Karviná wins 0Draws 1Hanácká wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-09-25HanáckáKarvináCup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Karviná vs Hanácká odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.0%, draw 17.7%, away 12.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.27 5.10 8.00
Bet365 1.30 5.00 6.50
BetVictor 1.30 5.25 7.50
Betano 1.35 5.20 6.80
Betfair 1.25 5.50 8.00
Marathonbet 1.26 5.10 7.60
Pinnacle 1.30 5.41 7.22
William Hill 1.30 4.80 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▼ -0.05
X 5.15 ▲ +0.65
2 7.36 ▼ -0.44

7 snapshots recorded, from .