FNL · Full time ·Matchday 9

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha

2 – 2 Full time

5′B. Diallo
23′J. Plsek
30′M. Surzyn
34′A. Franke
48′J. Matousek
64′M. KejrM. Halda
64′M. CernakS. Jalovicor
67′O. Tessilimi
68′B. DialloT. Schanelec
68′D. VelasquezD. Zamazal
70′P. Volesky
76′S. PolasekD. Dziuba
79′M. HanousekM. Ambler
84′P. VoleskyE. Okeke
84′J. MatousekJ. Koudelka
89′L. Endl
90′J. Koudelka
90′R. MikusS. Sebrle
90′O. TessilimiJ. Okebugwu

Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim, ProstejovReferee: V. Opocensky

Prostějov 30%
Draw 27%
Dukla Praha 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prostějov vs Dukla Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProstějovDrawDukla Praha
Model38.1%28.0%33.9%
Market26.8%26.9%46.3%
Final29.7%27.2%43.2%
Edge+11.2%+1.1%-12.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Dukla Praha

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prostějov ↓ / Dukla Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Prostějov and Dukla Praha expected goals

Prostějov 1.42
Dukla Praha 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.74

Prostějov and Dukla Praha attack and defence ratings

Prostějov

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Dukla Praha

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha: result vs prediction

Prostějov 2 – 2 Dukla Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dukla Praha 43.2% 2.32 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prostějov29.7%
Draw27.2%
Dukla Praha43.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.8%
No43.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.8%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.3%
Handicap -1Dukla Praha win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-18.6%
1-28.0%

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha stats

Prostějov and Dukla Praha recent form

newest first
Prostějov DDLWDL
Dukla Praha WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Prostějov and Dukla Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Prostějov record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dukla Praha record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Prostějov wins 1Draws 5Dukla Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-12Dukla PrahaProstějovFNL3-2
2023-10-28ProstějovDukla PrahaFNL1-2
2023-05-24Dukla PrahaProstějovFNL4-1
2022-11-05ProstějovDukla PrahaFNL4-2
2022-04-16ProstějovDukla PrahaFNL2-1
2021-10-01Dukla PrahaProstějovFNL0-1
2021-04-07ProstějovDukla PrahaFNL1-0
2020-08-29Dukla PrahaProstějovFNL0-0
2020-06-21ProstějovDukla PrahaFNL2-3
2019-10-05Dukla PrahaProstějovFNL1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Prostějov vs Dukla Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.8%, draw 26.9%, away 46.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.40 3.32 1.95
Bet365 3.25 3.30 1.95
BetVictor 3.50 3.40 1.95
Betano 3.40 3.40 2.05
Betfair 3.30 3.50 1.91
Marathonbet 3.32 3.32 1.93
Pinnacle 3.40 3.39 1.99
William Hill 3.30 3.10 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.36 ▼ -0.04
X 3.35 ▲ +0.10
2 1.95 ▼ -0.10

7 snapshots recorded, from .