Dukla Praha
vs
Baník Ostrava II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukla Praha
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II
| Probability | Dukla Praha | Draw | Baník Ostrava II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 25.8% | 33.4% |
| Market | 49.4% | 25.9% | 24.7% |
| Final | 47.2% | 25.9% | 26.9% |
| Edge | -8.5% | -0.2% | +8.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II match preview
Dukla Praha faces Baník Ostrava II in their upcoming FNL match on October 12, 2026. The model indicates a 41% probability of a Dukla Praha victory, while Baník Ostrava II has a 33% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for Dukla Praha are 1.65, slightly ahead of Baník Ostrava II's 1.48, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Recent form shows Dukla Praha with mixed results, recording a draw and three wins in their last six matches, while Baník Ostrava II has experienced a win, a draw, and two losses in the same period. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at 61%, with a 63% likelihood that both teams will score. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Dukla Praha.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukla Praha and Baník Ostrava II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Dukla Praha and Baník Ostrava II attack and defence ratings
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Praha | 47.2% | 2.12 | -8.5% | 1.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Praha | 47.2% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Baník Ostrava II | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukla Praha win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II stats
Dukla Praha and Baník Ostrava II recent form
| Dukla Praha |
DWWWLL |
| Baník Ostrava II |
LWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukla Praha and Baník Ostrava II season so far
Dukla Praha record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava II record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 61% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 25.9%, away 24.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.52 | 3.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.52 | 3.58 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .