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FNL · Full time ·Matchday 11

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II

2 – 1 Full time

11′I. Okonkwo
14′K. Belzik
34′R. A. Compaore
36′L. Dvoracek
46′A. FialaD. Latal
46′I. OkonkwoA. Rajnoha
46′R. A. CompaoreB. Szywala
52′M. Suchy
55′M. Temel
59′M. MervardT. Necid
59′D. MikulandaD. Barcot
67′M. BittaS. Drozd
71′S. Drozd
77′J. KolisekD. Teah
90′S. VlnaM. Kulyk
90′P. JaronM. Ouly

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, OstravaReferee: T. Ehrenberger

Baník Ostrava II 47%
Draw 24%
Slavia Praha II 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBaník Ostrava IIDrawSlavia Praha II
Model55.7%21.7%22.6%
Market44.3%25.3%30.4%
Final47.2%24.4%28.5%
Edge+2.8%-0.9%-1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Baník Ostrava II

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Baník Ostrava II below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Baník Ostrava ↓ / Slavia Praha I → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II expected goals

Baník Ostrava II 2.25
Slavia Praha II 1.40

Total expected goals: 3.65

Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II attack and defence ratings

Baník Ostrava II

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Slavia Praha II

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II: result vs prediction

Baník Ostrava II 2 – 1 Slavia Praha II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baník Ostrava II 47.2% 2.12 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.3% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Baník Ostrava II47.2%
Draw24.4%
Slavia Praha II28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.6%
Under 2.529.4%
Both teams to scoreYes68.3%
No31.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava II win35.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-19.0%
3-16.9%

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II stats

Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II recent form

newest first
Baník Ostrava II LLWDWL
Slavia Praha II LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Baník Ostrava II record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slavia Praha II record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Baník Ostrava II wins 0Draws 3Slavia Praha II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Slavia Praha IIBaník Ostrava IIFNL0-3
2025-10-05Baník Ostrava IISlavia Praha IIFNL1-2
2025-05-07Baník Ostrava IISlavia Praha IIFNL0-3
2024-10-20Slavia Praha IIBaník Ostrava IIFNL1-3
2023-02-01Baník Ostrava IISlavia Praha IIFriendlies Clubs1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 25.3%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.99 3.58 3.06
Bet365 2.05 3.60 2.88
BetVictor 2.05 3.80 2.90
Betano 2.15 3.80 2.82
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.00
Dafabet 2.07 3.85 3.05
Marathonbet 1.97 3.58 2.99
Pinnacle 2.06 3.69 2.97
William Hill 2.05 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.30
X 3.60 ▼ -0.24
2 2.99 ▼ -0.61

5 snapshots recorded, from .