Baník Ostrava II
vs
Slavia Praha II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Baník Ostrava II
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II
| Probability | Baník Ostrava II | Draw | Slavia Praha II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.5% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.5% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Baník Ostrava II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II match preview
Baník Ostrava II faces Slavia Praha II in the FNL on October 16, 2026. According to our model, Baník Ostrava II has a 56% probability of winning, while both teams have a 22% chance of a draw or a victory for Slavia Praha II. The expected goals for Baník Ostrava II stand at 2.19, compared to Slavia Praha II's 1.32. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Baník Ostrava II, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Baník Ostrava II has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins in their last five matches (L-W-D-W-L-W), while Slavia Praha II has shown improvement, winning two of their last five (L-L-D-D-W-W). The model indicates a strong chance for over 2.5 goals at 68% and a 66% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II attack and defence ratings
Baník Ostrava II
Slavia Praha II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 56.5% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Slavia Praha II | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win | 37.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 40.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II stats
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II recent form
| Baník Ostrava II |
LWDWLW |
| Slavia Praha II |
LLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II season so far
Baník Ostrava II record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 61% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Praha II record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Slavia Praha II | Baník Ostrava II | FNL | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Baník Ostrava II | Slavia Praha II | FNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.