FNL · ·Matchday 12

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II

Garuda Lions Prediction: Baník Ostrava II

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Simply Arena, Opava

Opava 34%
Draw 25%
Baník Ostrava II 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Baník Ostrava II wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Opava vs Baník Ostrava II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOpavaDrawBaník Ostrava II
Model34.4%24.7%40.9%
Market———
Final34.4%24.7%40.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Baník Ostrava II

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II match preview

Opava faces Baník Ostrava II in an intriguing FNL matchup. According to our model, Opava has a 34% chance of winning, while Baník Ostrava II is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Baník Ostrava II, with an expected goals tally of 1.60 for Opava and 1.76 for Baník Ostrava II.

Recent form shows Opava with mixed results, recording one win, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Baník Ostrava II has been more consistent, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Additionally, there is a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring is projected at 67%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Opava ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Opava and Baník Ostrava II expected goals

Opava 1.60
Baník Ostrava II 1.76

Total expected goals: 3.36

Opava and Baník Ostrava II attack and defence ratings

Opava

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Baník Ostrava II

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baník Ostrava II 40.9% 2.44 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.0% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.1% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Opava34.4%
Draw24.7%
Baník Ostrava II40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.2%
Under 2.534.8%
Both teams to scoreYes67.0%
No33.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)65.6%
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava II win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss59.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-28.6%
2-17.8%

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II stats

Opava and Baník Ostrava II recent form

newest first
Opava LWWDLD
Baník Ostrava II WLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Opava and Baník Ostrava II season so far

league record

Opava record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Baník Ostrava II record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Opava wins 0Draws 1Baník Ostrava II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-15Baník Ostrava IIOpavaFNL2-0
2025-09-15OpavaBaník Ostrava IIFNL1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Opava vs Baník Ostrava II odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Baník Ostrava II Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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