FNL · ·Matchday 12

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram

Garuda Lions Prediction: Příbram

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa, Ceska Lipa

Arsenal Česká Lípa 37%
Draw 25%
Příbram 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Příbram wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArsenal Česká LípaDrawPříbram
Model36.9%24.9%38.3%
Market———
Final36.9%24.9%38.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram match preview

Arsenal Česká Lípa faces Příbram in a match where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Arsenal Česká Lípa has a 32% chance of winning, while Příbram is favored with a 42% probability. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring 9% of the time, with expected goals of 1.42 for Arsenal Česká Lípa and 1.65 for Příbram.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Arsenal Česká Lípa recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Příbram has two wins, two draws, and a loss in the same timeframe. The model indicates a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score, suggesting an engaging match ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arsenal Česká ↓ / Příbram → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Příbram expected goals

Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.65
Příbram 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.33

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Příbram attack and defence ratings

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Příbram

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Příbram 38.3% 2.61 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.7% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arsenal Česká Lípa36.9%
Draw24.9%
Příbram38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.1%
Handicap -1Příbram win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss61.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-28.3%
2-18.2%

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram stats

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Příbram recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Příbram season so far

league record

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Příbram record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Příbram odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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