FNL · ·Matchday 13

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

Garuda Lions Prediction: Třinec

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, Trinec

Třinec 42%
Draw 25%
Arsenal Česká Lípa 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Třinec wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTřinecDrawArsenal Česká Lípa
Model42.0%25.3%32.7%
Market———
Final42.0%25.3%32.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Třinec

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa match preview

Třinec is set to face Arsenal Česká Lípa in an upcoming FNL match, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Třinec has a 42% probability of winning, while Arsenal Česká Lípa stands at 33%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Třinec, which has a 9% chance of occurring.

In terms of expected goals, Třinec is forecasted to score 1.71, compared to Arsenal Česká Lípa's 1.50. The model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% probability that both teams will score. Recent form shows Třinec with mixed results, including two wins and three losses, while Arsenal Česká Lípa has also struggled, recording one win and four draws in their last six matches.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Třinec ↓ / Arsenal Česká → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa expected goals

Třinec 1.71
Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.21

Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa attack and defence ratings

Třinec

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Třinec 42.0% 2.38 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.6% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Třinec42.0%
Draw25.3%
Arsenal Česká Lípa32.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%
Both teams to scoreYes64.6%
No35.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.3%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Třinec win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-18.9%
1-27.7%

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa stats

Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa season so far

league record

Třinec record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Třinec Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now