Hanácká
vs
Třinec
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hanácká
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.34.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hanácká is the favourite, not a value bet.
Hanácká vs Třinec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hanácká vs Třinec
| Probability | Hanácká | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.4% | 24.0% | 25.6% |
| Market | 46.6% | 25.6% | 27.9% |
| Final | 47.5% | 25.2% | 27.3% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
Why Hanácká
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.34.
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (our 47.5% × 2.00 − 1).
Hanácká vs Třinec match preview
In the upcoming match between Hanácká and Třinec, the probabilities indicate a 50% chance of a Hanácká victory, with a 24% likelihood of a draw and a 26% chance for Třinec. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Hanácká, which aligns with an expected goals tally of 1.94 for Hanácká and 1.34 for Třinec.
Both teams have shown fluctuating recent form, with Hanácká recording two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Třinec has a mixed record of two wins, two losses, and a draw in their recent outings. Additionally, there is a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, suggesting an engaging match is on the horizon.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hanácká and Třinec expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Hanácká and Třinec attack and defence ratings
Hanácká
Třinec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hanácká vs Třinec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hanácká | 47.5% | 2.10 | +1.0% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hanácká | 47.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Třinec | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% |
| No | 35.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hanácká win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Hanácká vs Třinec stats
Hanácká and Třinec recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hanácká and Třinec season so far
Hanácká record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Třinec record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Hanácká vs Třinec head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | Hanácká | Třinec | 3. liga - MSFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Třinec | Hanácká | 3. liga - MSFL | 1-1 |
| 2021-07-09 | Hanácká | Třinec | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hanácká vs Třinec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 25.6%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.55 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.45 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |