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FNL · ·Matchday 14

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko

Garuda Lions Prediction: Arsenal Česká Lípa

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.17.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Bet on Arsenal Česká Lípa

Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa, Ceska LipaReferee: T. Mankovecky

Arsenal Česká Lípa 39%
Draw 26%
Táborsko 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Arsenal Česká Lípa wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArsenal Česká LípaDrawTáborsko
Model58.8%22.2%19.1%
Market32.7%26.9%40.3%
Final39.2%25.7%35.0%
Edge+6.5%-1.2%-5.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Arsenal Česká Lípa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Arsenal Česká Lípa below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +13.8% per unit staked (our 39.2% × 2.90 − 1).

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko match preview

Arsenal Česká Lípa is set to face Táborsko in an FNL matchup, with the model assigning a 48% probability of a home win, while Táborsko has a 27% chance of victory and a 25% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Arsenal Česká Lípa, with an expected goals tally of 1.81 for the home side compared to Táborsko's 1.33.

In terms of recent form, Arsenal Česká Lípa has recorded two draws, one win, and three losses in their last six matches, while Táborsko has managed three draws and three losses in their most recent games. The model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arsenal Česká ↓ / Táborsko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko expected goals

Arsenal Česká Lípa 2.15
Táborsko 1.17

Total expected goals: 3.31

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko attack and defence ratings

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Táborsko

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arsenal Česká Lípa 39.2% 2.55 +6.5% 2.90
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.3% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.2% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arsenal Česká Lípa39.2%
Draw25.7%
Táborsko35.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.0%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1Arsenal Česká Lípa win37.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss41.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-19.8%
2-08.4%
Compare prices for this pick

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko stats

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko recent form

newest first
Arsenal Česká Lípa WDWLLD
Táborsko LDDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko season so far

league record

Arsenal Česká Lípa record

  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Táborsko record

  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 26.9%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.73 3.34 2.26
Bet365 2.80 3.30 2.15
BetVictor 2.75 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.60 3.40 2.47
Dafabet 2.90 3.60 2.25
Marathonbet 2.66 3.34 2.24
Pinnacle 2.83 3.42 2.24
William Hill 2.80 3.25 2.25
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.77 ▲ +0.29
X 3.37 ▲ +0.07
2 2.25 ▼ -0.38

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Arsenal Česká Lípa Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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