Opava
vs
Vlašim
Garuda Lions Prediction: Opava
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Opava is the favourite, not a value bet.
Opava vs Vlašim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Opava vs Vlašim
| Probability | Opava | Draw | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 27.2% | 43.0% |
| Market | 46.3% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| Final | 42.2% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.0% per unit staked (our 42.2% × 2.04 − 1).
Opava vs Vlašim match preview
Opava will face Vlašim in an FNL matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive contest. Opava has a 41% chance of winning, while Vlašim holds a 32% likelihood, with a 27% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Opava, occurring at a rate of 7%. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 58% chance that both will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Opava has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Vlašim has secured three wins, one loss, and one win in their last five outings. The expected goals for Opava stand at 1.26, compared to Vlašim's 1.56, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in terms of offensive output.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Opava and Vlašim expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Opava and Vlašim attack and defence ratings
Opava
Vlašim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Opava vs Vlašim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Opava | 42.2% | 2.37 | -4.1% | 2.04 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Opava | 42.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Vlašim | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Opava win | 13.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 70.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Opava vs Vlašim stats
Opava and Vlašim recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Opava and Vlašim season so far
Opava record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vlašim record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Opava vs Vlašim head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Vlašim | Opava | FNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Opava | Vlašim | FNL | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Vlašim | Opava | FNL | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-19 | Opava | Vlašim | FNL | 3-3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Opava | Vlašim | FNL | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Vlašim | Opava | FNL | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Opava | Vlašim | FNL | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Vlašim | Opava | FNL | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Vlašim | Opava | FNL | 3-1 |
| 2021-07-24 | Opava | Vlašim | FNL | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Opava vs Vlašim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 27.2%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.28 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.28 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.29 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.13 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .