Karviná
vs
Slavia Praha II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Karviná
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.50.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karviná vs Slavia Praha II
| Probability | Karviná | Draw | Slavia Praha II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.9% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Karviná
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II match preview
Karviná enters the match against Slavia Praha II with a strong probability of winning at 69%, reflecting their recent form of four wins in their last six matches. The expected goals for Karviná stand at 2.79, indicating a solid attacking performance, while Slavia Praha II has a significantly lower expected goals figure of 1.23. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of goals, there is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 77%, and both teams scoring is also likely at 67%. Slavia Praha II has struggled recently, with four losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance against a confident Karviná side. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karviná and Slavia Praha II expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.06
Karviná and Slavia Praha II attack and defence ratings
Karviná
Slavia Praha II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 59.9% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Slavia Praha II | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II stats
Karviná and Slavia Praha II recent form
| Karviná |
WWWWLW |
| Slavia Praha II |
WLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karviná and Slavia Praha II season so far
Karviná record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Slavia Praha II record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.