FNL · ·Matchday 13

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava

Garuda Lions Prediction: Baník Ostrava II

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Baník Ostrava II is the favourite, not a value bet.

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava

Baník Ostrava II 37%
Draw 27%
Vysočina Jihlava 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Baník Ostrava II wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBaník Ostrava IIDrawVysočina Jihlava
Model31.3%26.9%41.7%
Market39.0%27.3%33.6%
Final37.1%27.2%35.6%
Edge-1.9%-0.1%+2.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.7% per unit staked (our 37.1% × 2.38 − 1).

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava match preview

Baník Ostrava II faces Vysočina Jihlava in an intriguing FNL matchup. Baník Ostrava II has a 37% probability of winning, while Vysočina Jihlava stands at 36%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Baník Ostrava II are 1.33, compared to 1.56 for Vysočina Jihlava. Recent form shows Baník Ostrava II with a record of D-W-L-L-W-D, while Vysočina Jihlava boasts an impressive W-W-D-W-W-W streak.

The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Baník Ostrava II, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Baník Ostrava ↓ / Vysočina Jihla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava expected goals

Baník Ostrava II 1.33
Vysočina Jihlava 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.89

Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava attack and defence ratings

Baník Ostrava II

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Vysočina Jihlava

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baník Ostrava II 37.1% 2.69 -1.9% 2.38
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.7% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Baník Ostrava II37.1%
Draw27.2%
Vysočina Jihlava35.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Both teams to scoreYes59.3%
No40.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.4%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava II win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.0%
Loss68.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.0%
2-17.7%

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava stats

Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava season so far

league record

Baník Ostrava II record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vysočina Jihlava record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Baník Ostrava II wins 1Draws 0Vysočina Jihlava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Baník Ostrava IIVysočina JihlavaFNL2-1
2025-09-26Vysočina JihlavaBaník Ostrava IIFNL2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 27.3%, away 33.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.25 2.62
Bet365 2.25 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.32 3.40 2.80
Betfair 2.38 3.40 2.55
Dafabet 2.33 3.45 2.75
Marathonbet 2.31 3.25 2.62
Pinnacle 2.37 3.34 2.75
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.02
X 3.32 ▼ -0.08
2 2.70 —

7 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Baník Ostrava II Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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