FNL · ·Matchday 13

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukla Praha

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadium Viktoria Zizkov, Prague

Viktoria Žižkov 36%
Draw 25%
Dukla Praha 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Dukla Praha wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityViktoria ŽižkovDrawDukla Praha
Model35.8%24.8%39.3%
Market———
Final35.8%24.8%39.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha match preview

Viktoria Žižkov faces Dukla Praha in an upcoming FNL match, with Viktoria Žižkov holding a 36% probability of winning, while Dukla Praha has a slightly higher chance at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of expected goals, Viktoria Žižkov is forecasted to score 1.63, while Dukla Praha is projected to net 1.71. Recent form shows Viktoria Žižkov with a record of L-D-W-W-W-D, and Dukla Praha with D-L-W-D-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viktoria Žižko ↓ / Dukla Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha expected goals

Viktoria Žižkov 1.63
Dukla Praha 1.71

Total expected goals: 3.34

Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha attack and defence ratings

Viktoria Žižkov

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Dukla Praha

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dukla Praha 39.3% 2.54 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viktoria Žižkov35.8%
Draw24.8%
Dukla Praha39.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.8%
Under 2.535.2%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.7%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)64.2%
Handicap -1Dukla Praha win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-28.5%
2-18.0%

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha stats

Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha season so far

league record

Viktoria Žižkov record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dukla Praha record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Dukla Praha Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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