Viktoria Žižkov
vs
Dukla Praha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukla Praha
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha
| Probability | Viktoria Žižkov | Draw | Dukla Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 24.8% | 39.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 24.8% | 39.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha match preview
Viktoria Žižkov faces Dukla Praha in an upcoming FNL match, with Viktoria Žižkov holding a 36% probability of winning, while Dukla Praha has a slightly higher chance at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of expected goals, Viktoria Žižkov is forecasted to score 1.63, while Dukla Praha is projected to net 1.71. Recent form shows Viktoria Žižkov with a record of L-D-W-W-W-D, and Dukla Praha with D-L-W-D-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha attack and defence ratings
Viktoria Žižkov
Dukla Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Praha | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoria Žižkov | 35.8% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Dukla Praha | 39.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukla Praha win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha stats
Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha recent form
| LDWWWD | |
| DLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoria Žižkov and Dukla Praha season so far
Viktoria Žižkov record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Praha record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.