Ústí nad Labem
vs
Karviná
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ústí nad Labem
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná
| Probability | Ústí nad Labem | Draw | Karviná |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 25.1% | 36.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.5% | 25.1% | 36.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná match preview
Ústí nad Labem faces Karviná in an upcoming FNL match with a kickoff scheduled for October 23, 2026. According to our model, Ústí nad Labem has a 45% chance of winning, while Karviná holds a 30% probability, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Ústí nad Labem, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Ústí nad Labem stand at 1.82, compared to Karviná's 1.46.
In terms of recent form, Ústí nad Labem has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Karviná, on the other hand, has shown more consistency with four wins and two losses in their recent outings. The model suggests a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 65%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ústí nad Labem and Karviná expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Ústí nad Labem and Karviná attack and defence ratings
Ústí nad Labem
Karviná
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 38.5% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Karviná | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ústí nad Labem win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná stats
Ústí nad Labem and Karviná recent form
| Ústí nad Labem |
DLWLDW |
| Karviná |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ústí nad Labem and Karviná season so far
Ústí nad Labem record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karviná record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.