Karviná
vs
Dukla Praha
3 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | A. MarkovicJ. Chytry | ||
| 32′ | S. Misek | ||
| 37′ | O. Conde | ||
| 46′ | B. DialloP. Corr | ||
| 46′ | D. ZamazalD. Velasquez | ||
| 46′ | R. MikusS. Sebrle | ||
| 66′ | S. HindiN. Cisse | ||
| 75′ | J. SelnarD. Samko | ||
| 75′ | S. MisekJ. Bello | ||
| 79′ | D. Samko | ||
| 80′ | O. TessilimiJ. Okebugwu | ||
| 85′ | O. CondeM. Yahaya |
Karviná vs Dukla Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karviná vs Dukla Praha
| Probability | Karviná | Draw | Dukla Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 22.1% | 28.5% |
| Market | 49.2% | 25.5% | 25.3% |
| Final | 49.3% | 24.6% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +0.0% | -0.8% | +0.8% |
Why Karviná
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karviná and Dukla Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Karviná and Dukla Praha attack and defence ratings
Karviná
Dukla Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Karviná vs Dukla Praha: result vs prediction
Karviná 3 – 0 Dukla Praha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karviná vs Dukla Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 49.3% | 2.03 | +0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 49.3% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Dukla Praha | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Karviná vs Dukla Praha stats
Karviná and Dukla Praha recent form
| Karviná |
WWLWLW |
| Dukla Praha |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karviná and Dukla Praha going into this match
Karviná record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Dukla Praha record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karviná vs Dukla Praha head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Dukla Praha | Karviná | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Karviná | Dukla Praha | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Dukla Praha | Karviná | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Karviná | Dukla Praha | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Dukla Praha | Karviná | FNL | 0-3 |
| 2022-10-22 | Karviná | Dukla Praha | FNL | 5-0 |
| 2019-05-14 | Karviná | Dukla Praha | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2019-03-15 | Dukla Praha | Karviná | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2018-10-07 | Karviná | Dukla Praha | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Karviná vs Dukla Praha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 25.5%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.55 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.55 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.66 | 3.55 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.28 | 3.29 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .