FNL · Full time ·Matchday 11

Vlašim vs Hanácká

1 – 0 Full time

8′D. Mane
31′D. Hais
34′D. Polak
46′D. ManeD. Soukenik
50′L. Musil
52′Z. Riha
56′D. PolakD. Kriz
56′J. DockalL. Kubr
63′J. Zaviska
66′M. KudelaF. Zak
66′D. HaisL. Holik
67′J. HodekS. Pikolon
67′J. DufekR. Teterja
84′T. CelustkaP. Zavadil
85′L. MusilD. Hajek
90′B. DjordjicM. Kone

Stadion v Kollarove ulici, VlasimReferee: M. Kubecka

Vlašim 59%
Draw 22%
Hanácká 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vlašim vs Hanácká overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vlašim vs Hanácká

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVlašimDrawHanácká
Model69.1%17.7%13.2%
Market56.3%23.0%20.7%
Final59.5%21.7%18.8%
Edge+3.2%-1.3%-1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vlašim

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Vlašim below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vlašim ↓ / Hanácká → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 2 8% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Vlašim and Hanácká expected goals

Vlašim 2.64
Hanácká 1.12

Total expected goals: 3.75

Vlašim and Hanácká attack and defence ratings

Vlašim

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Hanácká

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vlašim vs Hanácká: result vs prediction

Vlašim 1 – 0 Hanácká

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

FNL

Before and after this match

Vlašim vs Hanácká markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vlašim 59.5% 1.68 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Vlašim win 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vlašim59.5%
Draw21.7%
Hanácká18.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.2%
12 (either side)78.3%
X2 (draw or away)40.5%
Handicap -1Vlašim win48.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss30.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
2-08.1%
3-18.0%

Vlašim vs Hanácká stats

Vlašim and Hanácká recent form

newest first
Vlašim WWLWLD
Hanácká LLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vlašim and Hanácká going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vlašim record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Hanácká record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vlašim vs Hanácká head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Vlašim wins 0Draws 1Hanácká wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07HanáckáVlašimFNL0-1
2025-08-03VlašimHanáckáFNL5-0
2024-04-27VlašimHanáckáFNL2-0
2023-09-30HanáckáVlašimFNL2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vlašim vs Hanácká odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 23.0%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.88 4.50
Bet365 1.60 3.80 4.20
BetVictor 1.62 4.10 4.33
Betano 1.65 4.10 4.35
Betfair 1.36 4.60 6.00
Dafabet 1.68 4.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.57 3.88 4.40
Pinnacle 1.65 4.01 4.24
SBO 1.57 3.74 4.11
William Hill 1.65 3.70 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.61 ▲ +0.21
X 3.94 ▼ -0.39
2 4.38 ▼ -1.62

5 snapshots recorded, from .